Southern Utah
Men
-
Women
2011
-
2012 -
2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
94 |
Jamie Smith |
SR |
20:01 |
247 |
Kirsten Bradford |
SR |
20:28 |
263 |
Danielle Jewkes |
JR |
20:31 |
287 |
Sylvia Bedford |
SR |
20:33 |
688 |
Shelli Mogensen |
JR |
21:12 |
995 |
Whitney Curtis |
JR |
21:34 |
1,032 |
Kaylee Coates |
SR |
21:36 |
1,130 |
Dayna VanArsdol |
SR |
21:43 |
1,762 |
Elizabeth Butler |
SR |
22:23 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
1.5% |
Regional Champion |
0.3% |
Top 5 in Regional |
67.5% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Jamie Smith |
Kirsten Bradford |
Danielle Jewkes |
Sylvia Bedford |
Shelli Mogensen |
Whitney Curtis |
Kaylee Coates |
Dayna VanArsdol |
Elizabeth Butler |
Oregon Dellinger Invitational |
09/29 |
874 |
20:12 |
20:42 |
20:49 |
20:31 |
21:50 |
21:42 |
21:36 |
21:32 |
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Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) |
10/13 |
852 |
19:57 |
20:40 |
20:50 |
20:38 |
21:31 |
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22:08 |
21:55 |
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Big Sky Championships |
10/27 |
608 |
19:57 |
20:19 |
20:15 |
20:20 |
20:39 |
21:17 |
21:27 |
|
22:24 |
Mountain Region Championships |
11/09 |
649 |
20:00 |
20:09 |
20:10 |
20:44 |
20:50 |
21:41 |
21:19 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
7.4% |
24.6 |
563 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
Region Championship |
100% |
5.0 |
163 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
8.9 |
30.7 |
25.5 |
15.8 |
9.1 |
5.0 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jamie Smith |
32.7% |
76.7 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Kirsten Bradford |
7.5% |
132.4 |
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Danielle Jewkes |
7.5% |
140.6 |
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Sylvia Bedford |
7.4% |
150.8 |
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Shelli Mogensen |
7.4% |
229.0 |
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Whitney Curtis |
7.4% |
246.4 |
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Kaylee Coates |
7.4% |
247.5 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jamie Smith |
10.6 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
6.9 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Kirsten Bradford |
25.3 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
Danielle Jewkes |
27.9 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
Sylvia Bedford |
29.7 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
Shelli Mogensen |
63.6 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
Whitney Curtis |
80.9 |
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Kaylee Coates |
82.4 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
0.3% |
100.0% |
0.3 |
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0.3 |
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1 |
2 |
2.1% |
100.0% |
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2.1 |
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2.1 |
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2 |
3 |
8.9% |
51.2% |
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0.0 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
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4.4 |
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4.6 |
3 |
4 |
30.7% |
1.2% |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
30.4 |
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0.4 |
4 |
5 |
25.5% |
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25.5 |
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5 |
6 |
15.8% |
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15.8 |
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6 |
7 |
9.1% |
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9.1 |
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7 |
8 |
5.0% |
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5.0 |
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8 |
9 |
2.1% |
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2.1 |
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9 |
10 |
0.5% |
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0.5 |
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10 |
11 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
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Total |
100% |
7.4% |
0.3 |
2.1 |
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0.0 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
92.6 |
2.4 |
4.9 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Illinois |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Baylor |
0.5% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Tulsa |
0.5% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Clemson |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Northern Arizona |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Air Force |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Ohio U. |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Boise State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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2.0 |